随机主余震作用下AP1000核电厂可靠度研究
Reliability study of AP1000 nuclear power plant under stochasic main aftershock
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摘要: 在实际中,地震通常由一次主震和一系列余震构成,且地震发生的随机性很强。主震会对结构造成破坏,随后的余震则会放大和加剧结构的响应与损伤。然而,目前尚无考虑随机地震序列作用对核电厂影响的研究。提出了一种AP1000核电厂在随机主余震作用下的动力响应和可靠度研究的分析框架。使用地震动的物理随机函数模型、窄带波群叠加法和Copula函数模拟随机主余震序列;基于ABAQUS软件建立AP1000核电站模型,并对其进行动力响应分析;基于直接概率积分法得到核电厂屏蔽厂房水平方向最大位移响应的概率密度函数,并计算其动力可靠度。结果表明,相较于仅经历主震,余震作用后屏蔽厂房顶部和安全壳顶部的加速度与相对位移分别有不同程度的增大,屏蔽厂房水箱和通风口之间区域的损伤面积有所扩大,余震会对核电厂造成进一步破坏。由于地震的随机性,核电厂的动力响应也表现出一定随机性。余震会降低核电厂的动力可靠度,其降低的程度与核电厂选择的阈值相关。Abstract: In practice, earthquakes typically involve a mainshock followed by a series of aftershocks, and their occurrence is highly unpredictable. The mainshock damages the structure, and the aftershocks worsen the response and damage of the structure. However, no studies have investigated the effects of stochastic seismic sequences on AP1000 nuclear power plants. This paper proposes an analytical framework for studying the dynamic response and reliability of AP1000 nuclear power plants under stochastic main aftershocks. Stochastic main aftershock sequences are generated using the physical stochastic function model of ground motions, narrow-band harmonic group superposition method, and Copula function. The dynamic response of the AP1000 nuclear power plant is analyzed by using ABAQUS software. The direct probability integration method (DPIM) is used to obtain the probability density function of the maximum displacement response in the horizontal direction of the shielded building, and its dynamic reliability is calculated. The results show that the acceleration and relative displacement of the top of the shielded building and the steel containment vessel have increased to varying degrees after the aftershock, compared with experiencing the mainshock only. Additionally, the damage area between the water tanks and the vents has expanded. The aftershocks could cause further damage to the nuclear power plant. The dynamic response of nuclear power plants exhibits a high degree of randomness due to the stochastic ground motions. Aftershocks can reduce the reliability of nuclear power plants to varying degrees under different thresholds.