融合SWD与PatchTST的桥梁结构响应预测方法

A prediction method for bridge structural response integrating SWD and PatchTST

  • 摘要: 响应预测是准确获取桥梁服役状态的有效手段之一。由于多变服役环境和复杂力学机制影响,桥梁响应监测数据可能具有多重特征(如非线性或非高斯性)。传统数据驱动预测模型在面对此类复杂数据时,通常依赖特征简化或信息平滑来提取信号的主要成分,导致对数据的空间模式和局部时变特征捕捉不够。为此,本文采用群分解(swarm decomposition,SWD)技术和PatchTST(Patch time series transformer,PatchTST)模型的桥梁结构响应预测方法。通过SWD技术有效捕捉响应数据中的关键时空特征,克服了传统时频分析技术对信号复杂内在结构解析不足的瓶颈。同时,结合多尺度patch嵌套机制提升模型对局部时变特征的建模能力,实现了在复杂服役环境下的动态响应精准预测与泛化性能提升。最后,基于2座桥4个实际案例验证了所提方法的有效性。结果表明,相比PatchTST模型,所提方法平均误差(mean squared error,MSE)降低了50%~90%;与其他Transformer架构模型(如Autoformer和FEDformer)相比,MSE降低了10%~60%;相比基于特征简化技术预测模型的精度提升在30%以上。

     

    Abstract: Response prediction is an effective means to accurately assess the operational condition of bridges. Due to variable service environments and complex mechanical mechanisms, bridge response monitoring data may have multiple characteristics, such as nonlinearity or non-Gaussianity. Traditional data-driven prediction models typically rely on feature simplification or data smoothing to extract the primary components of these complex data. This treatment often results in inadequate capture of the spatial patterns and local time-varying characteristics in the data. To address this issue, this paper proposes a prediction method for bridge structural responses using Swarm Decomposition (SWD) technology and the Patch Time Series Transformer (PatchTST) model. By effectively capturing key spatiotemporal features in the response data using SWD, the limitations of traditional time-frequency analysis techniques in analyzing complex internal signal structures are overcome. Furthermore, by integrating a multi-scale patch nesting mechanism, the ability of the model to represent local time-varying features is enhanced, thereby achieving accurate dynamic response prediction and improved generalization performance in complex operational environments. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through four measured data from two bridges. The results demonstrate that, compared with PatchTST, the proposed method reduces the value of Mean Squared Error (MSE) by 50% to 90%; compared with other Transformer architecture models (such as Autoformer and FEDformer), the MSE value is reduced by 10% to 60%. Compared with prediction models based on feature simplification techniques, the proposed method improves accuracy by over 30%.

     

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