震后变电站瓷柱型设备性能快速评估方法
Fast performance evaluation method of porcelain cylindrical equipment in substations after seismic events
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摘要: 当前电力系统的抗震研究技术主要针对震前设计、分析与防灾减震。为了快速辅助震后应急响应工作,本文提出了利用 监测数据预测结构地震响应的瓷柱型设备震后性能评估方法。该方法在震前融合机器学习和用于算法架构优化的群体智能 演化技术以构建设备地震响应替代模型,建立瓷柱型设备精细化仿真模型,通过输入大量地震动形成结构响应数据库,进而对 替代模型进行训练和性能评价。地震中监测结构响应,震后可利用替代模型快速提供设备根部应力响应以判断设备抗震性 能。采用1100 kV变压器套管?支架体系进行案例研究,并通过振动台试验和分布参数体系理论进行了验证。结果表明利用瓷 柱型设备加速度响应数据可在震后准确评估根部应力;粒子群算法能有效调整替代模型的内部结构,提升模型准确性;振动台 试验和理论分析结果验证了替代模型评估结果的准确性。Abstract: Seismic research technologies of power systems focus on the design, analysis and disaster mitigation before earthquakes. To quickly assist the emergency work after earthquakes, this paper proposed a post?earthquake evaluation method facing porcelain cylindrical equipment that uses monitoring data to predict structural stress responses. This method establishes a stress response proxy model by integrating machine learning and swarm intelligence evolution technologies, then builds refined simulation model, and conducts response analyses to form structural response database. Based on this, the proxy model can be trained and evaluated. Once the structural responses can be monitored, the proxy model can supply the stress response rapidly after earthquakes to help the post?disaster detection. A case study was performed using 1100 kV transformer bushing, and the evaluation models were vali? dated by shaking table tests and theoretical model based on distributed parameter system. The results indicate that using accelera? tion monitoring data can accurately evaluate the base stress of porcelain cylindrical equipment. Particle swarm optimization can effi? ciently adjust the internal structures of evaluation models, further increasing the model accuracy. The accuracies of evaluation mod? els were validated by both shaking table tests and theoretical model.