小波分解和BDLTM-GRU混合模型相融合的桥梁耦合极值应力高精度预测

High precision prediction of bridge coupled extreme stresses with the fusion of wavelet decomposition and BDLTM-GRU mixture model

  • 摘要: 为实现桥梁耦合极值应力的高精度预测,采用小波多分辨率分析法对监测极值应力进行分解,取分解后的低频数据为趋势项信息,高频数据为车辆荷载效应信息,趋势项减去其均值为温度荷载效应信息,通过以上步骤实现桥梁极值应力的解耦。建立双变量(引入随时间变化的趋势项)贝叶斯动态线性趋势性模型(BDLTM)对低频极值应力进行预测分析;采用GRU神经网络模型对高频极值应力进行预测分析;实现耦合极值应力的叠加预测。利用天津富民桥的监测耦合数据验证BDLTM-GRU模型的可行性,同时与耦合极值应力的单BDLTM和单GRU模型进行精度比较,验证BDLTM-GRU模型预测的高精度。

     

    Abstract: To achieve high-precision prediction of bridge-coupled extreme stresses, the wavelet multi-resolution analysis method is adopted to decouple the coupled extreme stresses. The decoupled low-frequency data is taken as the trend item information, where the high-frequency data is considered as the vehicle load effect information. The trend item, after subtracting its mean, is the temperature load effect information. A bivariate Bayesian dynamic linear trend model (BDLTM), which introduces a time-varying trend term, is built to predict and analyze low-frequency extreme stress. GRU neural network model is provided to predict and analyze high-frequency extreme stresses. The dynamic coupled extreme stresses are predicted. The monitoring coupled data from Tianjin Fumin Bridge is provided to illustrate the feasibility and application of the proposed BDLTM-GRU model, the accuracy of which is compared with the single BDLTM model and single GRU model for verifying the high precision of the BDLTM-GRU model.

     

/

返回文章
返回