考虑风向效应的输电塔线风振疲劳随机寿命分析

Probabilistic fatigue life analysis of transmission tower-line systems considering wind direction effects

  • 摘要: 输电塔线体系疲劳损伤评估是保障电力网络全寿命周期安全运行的关键技术基础。本文利用实测地面1小时平均风速和风向数据,基于条件概率分布法构建了风速风向联合概率模型;以典型三塔两线的输电塔线体系为研究对象,对塔线体系进行了各风向、风速工况下的疲劳损伤计算;结合风速风向联合概率分布研究了不同构件材料疲劳参数随机性对塔线体系疲劳寿命的影响。结果表明:Weibull分布能够有效描述不同风向下小时平均风速的条件概率分布特征;杆件疲劳参数的相关性越大,疲劳损伤破坏的杆件分布越集中,主要集中于塔腿区域;杆件疲劳参数相关性增强会导致输电塔疲劳寿命的随机波动范围显著扩大,同时系统不确定性风险升高。

     

    Abstract: Fatigue damage assessment of tower-line systems is essential for ensuring power grid safety throughout their service life. This study investigates a typical three-tower two-line transmission system using an integrated analytical approach. A joint probability model of wind effects was established based on conditional wind speed distributions, developed from measured one-hour average wind speed and direction data. Fatigue damage was calculated for multiple wind directions, focusing on the stochastic behavior of component fatigue parameters and their effects on system reliability. Key findings reveal: comparative analysis with field measurements demonstrates that the Weibull distribution effectively characterizes conditional probability features of hourly mean wind speeds across different wind directions; correlation analysis reveals that stronger parameter correlations concentrate fatigue damage in tower legs; enhanced correlation among fatigue parameters significantly amplifies the random fluctuation range of tower fatigue life while elevating system-level uncertainty risks.

     

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